https://forusers.org/ Community questions, answered and written up as clear, readable guides. en-us https://forusers.org/c8d2a9cf-polymarket-data-analysis-techniques/ https://forusers.org/c8d2a9cf-polymarket-data-analysis-techniques/ Wed, 12 Aug 2026 09:51:39 +0000 polymarket data analysis polymarket historical data polymarket backtesting on-chain trade data Polymarket data analysis uses on-chain trade records and orderbook data to evaluate strategies, backtest bots, and identify trading edges. Users collect granular data from open-source dumps, on-chain Polygon settlement records, and custom ingestion systems. Data sources include [PMXT] for free historical orderbook and trade-level data, plus on-chain records that capture every matched trade back to inception. One user built a system ingesting over 500 million trades and 1.7 million markets by dec https://forusers.org/a3d3f3a1-impact-of-liquidity-on-prediction-markets/ https://forusers.org/a3d3f3a1-impact-of-liquidity-on-prediction-markets/ Fri, 07 Aug 2026 04:23:26 +0000 prediction market liquidity prediction market trading slippage prediction markets illiquid markets Liquidity impacts prediction markets by distorting headline prices, causing slippage on larger orders, and making exits costly, which means displayed prices often do not reflect actual fill prices. Even when a market looks mispriced, thin order books can erase the edge once you account for spread, depth, and the difficulty of exiting a position. Available liquidity often becomes the binding constraint before a trader's predictive model matters. For market makers, illiquid prediction markets may